Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 10.007351 11.465721 13.078962 14.998647 17.224414 19.728157 22.764166
2025-08-03 7.832597 9.661508 11.850036 14.671917 18.228684 22.581999 28.343371
2025-08-10 6.575786 8.550486 11.050592 14.467447 19.045688 25.010072 33.437288
2025-08-17 5.694833 7.727120 10.420486 14.280717 19.719916 27.182168 38.318797
2025-08-24 5.009116 7.048168 9.858316 14.054328 20.230186 29.094232 42.974741
2025-08-31 4.445769 6.458608 9.330012 13.776127 20.579590 30.747731 47.377082
2025-09-07 4.207893 6.301822 9.388892 14.338499 22.201770 34.423999 55.277523
2025-09-14 3.906918 6.012899 9.211030 14.502758 23.200596 37.212550 62.067262
2025-09-21 3.602515 5.684295 8.932510 14.465007 23.848900 39.476215 68.219624
2025-09-28 3.310656 5.345208 8.600231 14.295302 24.241926 41.328760 73.846502
2025-10-05 3.180656 5.255320 8.659302 14.779035 25.789765 45.312787 83.787265
2025-10-12 3.041538 5.135625 8.653964 15.143677 27.153670 49.099613 93.817958
2025-10-19 2.943429 5.080388 8.758293 15.722063 28.986113 53.985066 106.711100
2025-10-26 2.707551 4.762694 8.374193 15.369083 29.030793 55.484583 112.993270
2025-11-02 2.516475 4.508587 8.080729 15.153788 29.310600 57.458574 120.499754
2025-11-09 2.346893 4.279305 7.812151 14.957512 29.600996 59.472729 128.339984
2025-11-16 2.187945 4.056704 7.536767 14.719581 29.776874 61.259112 135.896362
2025-11-23 2.036878 3.836981 7.248471 14.427216 29.805251 62.727104 142.906266
2025-11-30 2.001064 3.837148 7.386009 15.018241 31.772446 68.614357 161.131427
2025-12-07 1.920663 3.742611 7.327433 15.190886 32.841188 72.614914 175.339971
2025-12-14 1.824106 3.608032 7.176838 15.151208 33.428065 75.572720 187.348102
2025-12-21 1.721263 3.452876 6.971681 14.972841 33.677351 77.761724 197.677707
2025-12-28 1.690023 3.443921 7.070951 15.481285 35.584381 84.148126 220.087602